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January 8 2016

The Movies of 2016 – 4th Quarter

Welcome to the first of four parts of an analysis of every major film release of 2016.

Following up on last year’s project, I’m back with a look at the films of 2016. And as usual, I will be breaking it down by quarters and then an overall review.

There are some clear, “What in the world were they thinking?” projects coming out this year, and there are some that I think will surprise all of us.

Hopefully you enjoy this as it is a huge undertaking each year, but one I enjoy doing.

Please note that titles and release dates can change at any time, none of these are written in stone.

October

The Accountant

Release Date: October 7

A brilliant accountant (Ben Affleck) moonlights as an assassin.

Analysis: What a weird premise, but with Ben Affleck, Anna Kendrick, J.K. Simmons, Jeffrey Tambor and John Lithgow it’s going to be hard to not at least check out.

Gambit

Release Date: October 7

Analysis: No synopsis is available yet, and seeing as this hasn’t started filming yet I highly doubt this Channing Tatum X-Men film will make its date.

The Girl on the Train

Release Date: October 7

The Girl On The Train follows the story of a woman named Rachel, who goes on a train to London. She witnesses the “perfect” couple. Scott and Megan. But one day, havoc ensues this couple, and Rachel becomes involved in their drama/ murder mystery of Megan Hipwell.

Analysis: Good cast (Emily Blunt, Lisa Kudrow, Rebecca Ferguson), and the fall is usually a good time for thrillers.

Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life

Release Date: October 7

Book Synopsis: The book follows sixth grader Rafe Khatchadorian as he begins middle school and “copes with the awkwardness of adolescence: crushes, bullying, family issues as he attempts to break every school rule and collect the most points any student’s ever been given.

Analysis: These types of movies don’t usually do big box office. Doubt this one will.

Kevin Hart: What Now?

Kevin Hart What Now tour

Release Date: October 14

Analysis: It’s been a long time since we’ve had a comedy concert film as they usually go to cable or Netflix. Is the world ready to try this again?

A Monster Calls

Release Date: October 14

A young boy attempts to deal with his mother’s illness and the bullying of his classmates by escaping into a fantastical world of monsters and fairy tales that deal with courage, loss and faith.

Analysis: Sounds fun, but not a huge hit.

Jack Reacher: Never Go Back

Release Date: October 21

Jack Reacher returns to the headquarters of his old unit, only to find out he’s now accused of a 16-year-old homicide.

Analysis: The first film made some money, but not a lot. Surprised this is coming back.

Ouija 2

Release Date: October 21

Analysis: Ouija was made for $5M and did $103M globally. Zero surprise this is happening.

Underworld 5

Release Date: October 21

Analysis: No clue what is happening in this one… and not sure why they keep making these.

Inferno

Inferno

Release Date: October 28

Robert Langdon awakens in a hospital room in Florence, Italy, with no memory as to what has transpired over the last few days. He suddenly finds himself, again, the target of a major manhunt. But with the help of Dr. Sienna Brooks, and his knowledge of symbology, Langdon will try to regain his freedom, and lost memories, all whilst solving the most intricate riddle he’s ever faced.

Analysis: While Da Vinci Code did big numbers, but Angels & Demons only did moderate numbers. Not sure the world is crowing for a third film.

November

Bastards

Release Date: November 4

Upon learning that their mother has been lying to them for years about their allegedly deceased father, two fraternal twin brothers hit the road in order to find him.

Analysis: An Owen Wilson comedy. I’m pretty sure this is going to get a title change. And it will do moderate box office.

Doctor Strange

Doctor Strange logo

Release Date: November 4

After his career is destroyed, a brilliant but arrogant surgeon gets a new lease on life when a sorcerer takes him under his wing and trains him to defend the world against evil.

Analysis: Every time I think Marvel has hit characters that will give them trouble to market (Guardians of the Galaxy, Ant-Man), it knocks it out of the park. Well… Strange is going to be difficult to market.

Trolls

Release Date: November 4

Analysis: Yes… it’s finally here. The movie based on Trolls dolls that I have been dreading. It features the voices of Anna Kendrick and Justin Timberlake, but I still expect this to suck.

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Release Date: November 11

An infantryman recounts the final hours before he and his fellow soldiers return to Iraq.

Analysis: Should do well.

Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them

Release Date: November 18

The story revolves around Newt Scamander’s arrival at the Magical Congress of the United States of America, for a meeting with an important official. Central to the story and this meeting is a magically expanded briefcase which houses a number of dangerous creatures and their habitats. When the creatures escape from the briefcase, it sends the American wizarding authorities after Newt, and it threatens even further the state of magical and non-magical relations, which is already in a dangerous place, due to the threatening presence of the fanatical extremist group that call themselves, in short, “The Second Salemers”. The story tells of what effect this devastating mistake has on the state of wizard/No-Maj (the American term for a non-magical person) relations in New York City’s community of wizards and witches in 1926, the effort to correct the mistake, and the horrors of the resultant increase in violence, fear, and tension felt between magical and non-magical peoples.

Analysis: While I enjoyed the Harry Potter series, this is just not overly interesting to me. And I really have no clue how it will perform at the box office.

Bad Santa 2

Release Date: November 23
Analysis: It will have been 13 years since the original. The first one was funny, but do we really need another this many years later?

The Great Wall

Release Date: November 23

A mystery centered around the construction of the Great Wall of China.

Analysis: Not enough info to really form an opinion.

Moana

Moana publicity photo

Release Date: November 23

A young woman uses her navigational talents to set sail for a fabled island. Joining her on the adventure is her hero, the legendary demi-god Maui.

Analysis: Love the overlook of the film. And it’s Disney, you know it will make at least some money.

Untitled Brad Pitt and Marion Cotillard

Release Date: November 23

Analysis: This movie will make a lot of money… or not a lot of money. It’s untitled, who knows what it’s about.

December

Strangers 2

Release Date: December 2

Analysis: A follow up to the 2008 home invasion film. The original was made for $9M and did $82M global, but is anyone really dying for a sequel seven years later?

Let It Snow

Release Date: December 9

Three separate stories intertwine with each other as teens experience a huge snow storm during the Christmas season.

Analysis: Sounds a bit like Love Actually, which is the only movie in this format to make money.

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Rogue One main cast

Release Date: December 16

A band of resistance fighters unite for a daring mission to steal the Death Star plans in ‘Star Wars’ anthology film, Rogue One.

Analysis: I am personally super excited for this one, but Disney has a heck of a fight on its hands I think with educating your average movie goer that this is not the next film in the main series. It will still make a ton of money.

Assassin’s Creed

Release Date: December 28

When Callum Lynch (Michael Fassbender) explores the memories of his ancestor Aguilar and gains the skills of a Master Assassin, he discovers he is a descendant of the secret Assassins society.

Analysis: The game series has its fans, but we also know how video game movies tend to do at the box office. Fassbender being on board, however, is intriguing.

Jumanji

Release Date: December 28

Analysis: Yes, it’s a “re-imagining” of the 1995 film of the same name. No, no one knows why this is being made.

Passengers

Release Date: December 28

A spacecraft traveling to a distant colony planet and transporting thousands of people has a malfunction in one of its sleep chambers. As a result, a single passenger is awakened 60 years early. Faced with the prospect of growing old and dying alone, he eventually decides to wake up a second passenger.

Analysis: It stars Chris Pratt and Jennifer Lawrence, so it will make money, but is it wise to release a sci-fi film 12 days after a Star Wars movie?

Sing

Release Date: December 28

A koala named Buster hires a black sheep who is also his best friend to help him run his business of theater.

Analysis: No… I did not make up that synopsis. It’s an animated movie, but the synopsis makes it sound insane.



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  • Ponta Vedra

    As usual, we in Japan will have to wait—in at least one case, a whole 6 months!! The Martian won’t even come out here until 2/5. Finding Dory comes out relatively quickly, just one month after the U.S. release. Zootopia, X-Men: Apocalypse, The BFG, and Rogue One come out roughly 2 months after the U.S. release. Moana will take more than 4 months, and Deadpool comes in Dead Last, 6 months to the day after the U.S. release—August 12th here in Japan.

    Sheesh.